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The 2013 Emmys Awards air this Sunday, September 22, 2013, which means you only have a few more days to get your Emmy ballot perfected. Don’t worry, fair-weather TV fans, Wetpaint Entertainment is here to help you make the best picks.

We're going to run down the biggest categories with our thoughts on who stands a chance, who's totally hopeless, and who should win. Let’s take a closer look at the Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama category.

Who Will Win

Here's where we think each nominee stands, in order of least to most likely winner.

Connie Britton, Nashville: If this category were for Outstanding Hair in a Drama Series, Connie Britton would have the Emmy in the bag. Unfortunately, this is not that kind of awards show, y’all! Nashville is a little too soapy for the Emmys love, and let’s face it: if there’s one role Connie should have taken home the Emmy for it was her portrayal of Tami Taylor on Friday Night Lights.

Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey: Sorry, Lady Mary. We know you’re going through a tough time right now, but there’s no way you deserve an Emmy for Season 3. Besides, this wasn’t Michelle’s season to shine. She’ll be a much stronger candidate next year, given that the focus of the series will be Lady Mary and how she recovers from Matthew’s tragic death.

Vera Farmiga, Bates Motel: Vera Farmiga was this TV season’s breath of fresh air. She made quite a first impression as Norma Bates in A&E’s freshman series Bates Motel. However, Vera faces stiff competition from another newbie, who has the slight edge in this category, given the projects cache.

Robin Wright, House of Cards: Seeing how Kevin Spacey has this one in the bag for the Outstanding Actor category, we think academy voters will skew their Outstanding Actress votes elsewhere. As brilliant as Robin Wright’s performance was in Netflix’s House of Cards, it was overshadowed by the show’s leading man.

Kerry Washington, Scandal: We love Kerry Washington, and we love Scandal, but we think this award is going to go to one of the leading ladies of cable TV. Although, Kerry is an appealing vote for academy voters, given her wide recognition and mainstream appeal. We definitely can’t count out Olivia Pope in this category; she may be the surprise win.

Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men: Mad Men is cursed in the individual acting categories. Despite winning Outstanding Drama Series year after year, Elisabeth Moss has yet to clinch a win for her portrayal of Peggy Olson. However, given her brilliant performance in last season’s standout episode “To Have and To Hold” fell outside of the eligibility period, her time to shine might be next year. That’s not to say Elisabeth doesn’t deserve to be recognized for her game-changing work thus far. Although, she may take home an Emmy for her work in the miniseries Top of the Lake, which will satisfy some Emmy voters.

Winner: Claire Danes, Homeland: Claire Danes' performance as Carrie Mathison has Emmy written all over it — a fact we established last year when she took home the Emmy for this same category. And as Carrie slipped deeper into her psychosis, Claire’s chances of repeating her Emmys win only went up. Sure, Homeland’s second season wasn’t perfect, but Claire’s performance was mesmerizing. Plus, Season 2’s imperfections aren’t stopping anyone from tuning in to the Season 3 premiere. She’s on her way toward an Emmys winning streak!

Who Should Win

Despite Claire Danes’ winning streak and Kerry Washington’s appeal, we think it’s time for Elisabeth Moss to get the recognition she deserves for her groundbreaking performance in Mad Men.

Do you think Claire Danes will take home the Emmy for Outstanding Actress in a Drama Series for Homeland? Or should it be someone else? Tune in with Wetpaint on September 22, 2013 at 8 p.m. ET to find out!

Crystal Bell is an editor at Wetpaint Entertainment and our resident fan-girl for all things Pretty Little Liars, The Vampire Diaries, Game of Thrones and Once Upon a Time. She speaks fluent geek. Follow her on Twitter and Google+!