While it may seem like we have to wait for a time when the sun rises in the west and sets in the east before Season 4 of Game of Thrones begins, we can at least speculate on what we believe will occur on the show based on the A Song of Ice and Fire book series, upon which GoT is based. Specifically, what’s going to happen at that last protection against the unknown, the Wall?

Warning: This article contains spoilers from the A Song of Ice and Fire book series. Click away now if you don't want to know!

War! Ygritte and her wildling pals aren’t just going to turn around and go home now that Jon Snow has left them. Oh no, they climbed that wall for a reason! They’re going to storm Castle Black and try to open the gates for the entirety of Mance Rayder’s forces waiting on the other side. In the books, their party is led by Styr, Magnar of Thenn, who has already been announced as a new character for next season, but we’re not sure who’s playing him yet (though we have a pretty good idea). We could see Styr in this attack, or the show could use him later on to fill various wildling roles, but we’re pretty certain of this much: the wildlings will lose this battle, and Ygritte will lose even more.

More war! After the tiny force representing the Night’s Watch, and led by Jon Snow, rebuffs the wildling assault on Castle Black, they barely have a chance to catch their breath before Mance Rayder leads the whole of his army (giants and wargs included) in a full-blown invasion of the Wall. Things go from bleak to bleaker for the Night’s Watch when Janos Slynt and Alliser Thorne show up from one of the Wall’s other castles and take de facto command. Their first order of business? Lock up Jon Snow for treason. They don’t buy his cockamamie story about joining the wildlings under orders from Qhorin Halfhand, so they come up with a way to get rid of Jon while keeping their hands clean: They’re going to send him beyond the Wall to assassinate Mance Rayder.

Who’s that king defending the Wall? It’s Stannis, it’s Stannis. Jon meets with Mance, and is trying to decide whether he can kill him (or if he even wants to) when he’s interrupted by a battle in Mance’s camp. It turns out to be Stannis (!) and his army, and they cut through Mance’s forces like dragonglass through a white walker. Mance is taken prisoner, and Stannis makes Castle Black his new home away from home.

And the new Lord Commander of the Night’s Watch is... Stannis isn’t crazy about the idea of no one being in charge of the Night’s Watch, so he basically forces them to vote for a new leader. For a while, it looks like Janos Slynt is the frontrunner, which is unfortunate for a number of reasons, chief among them being the fact that he’s a total d-bag. Sam sees the direness of the situation, and comes up with a scheme to get Slynt’s main rivals to pool their votes in favor of a new candidate: one Jon Snow. And with that, Jon Snow is selected Lord Commander of the Night’s Watch. Not bad for a dirty ol’ bastard!

Are you excited to see more action at the Wall next season? Do you think all of these plot points will be included, or will the writers streamline the story? Sound off in the comments below!

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