Credit: HBO

Well, this is it. We’ve reached the Season 4 finale of Game of Thrones, and it promises to be a big one. On a show that routinely kills off its characters, will we see one of our favorites, Jon Snow (Kit Harington), scratched off in the finale?

Here, we speculate — no spoilers included!

3 Reasons Jon Might Die

He’s a Stark. We’ve gone almost a whole season without seeing a Stark get killed, so you know the show is itching to get rid of another one. Ned, Robb, and Catelyn have all been eliminated, and our money’s on Jon to be the next one to go.

He’s a traditional hero. On a show without traditional fantasy heroes, Jon Snow is very much a traditional fantasy hero. He’s a bastard with mysterious parentage and great sword skills with an albino wolf who joins the most noble order in the realm and saves it from decimation. Sounds to us like the type of guy whom this show loves killing off.

His plan is terrible. Jon said it himself, his plot to meet Mance Rayder and assassinate him will lead to his own demise, whether he’s successful or not. Doesn’t sound too promising.

3 Reasons Jon Won't Die

There’s a reason his storyline is separate. While most of the show centers around the characters in King’s Landing, Jon is different. He, along with Daenerys and Arya, has been largely separated from the rest of what happens on the show, leading us to believe that he’s too important to be going anywhere anytime soon. Otherwise, what’s the point?

We haven’t learned who his mother is. Killing Jon now, before learning the truth about his parents, would be a severe disservice to the fans. Jon’s parentage is probably the hottest conspiracy theory among fans, and we don’t see why we’d be robbed of answer by killing him off now.

His evolution must have a payoff. We’ve seen Jon evolve into a leader this season, and there’s got to be a purpose for that other than having him sacrifice himself to Mance Rayder. The sacrifice would be noble and heroic, but a leader needs to lead, not get himself killed.

Do you think Jon will live or die? Let us know in the comments below!

Catch the Game of Thrones Season 4 finale on June 15, 2014 at 9 p.m. ET on HBO.